WWE Summerslam 2025 odds & analysis

With the wrestling world hit with the lack of the divisive Hulk Hogan, it’s time to maneuver on already. Summerslam is one in every of WWE’s huge 4 reveals all year long, appearing like a round-up of the occasions after WrestleMania.

This time, it’s the primary Summerslam that’s taking place over two nights. Saturday and Sunday might be filled with matches, however it’s trying prefer it might be one other unpredictable present. Odds have modified quickly over the past week, and if we’re going off the previous few huge reveals WWE has placed on, it might harbor just a few surprises.

The next odds are pulled from BetOnline and Paddy Energy. They’re topic to vary. This isn’t playing recommendation.

• Tiffany Stratton (champ) – 7/2
• Jade Cargill – 1/6

• Gunther (champ) – 4/11
• CM Punk – 13/8

• Judgement Day (Raquel Rodriguez & Roxanne Perez) (Champs) – 7/4
• Charlotte Aptitude and Alexa Bliss – 1/3

• Randy Orton and Jelly Roll – 1/7
• Drew McIntyre and Logan Paul – 4/1

• Sami Zayn – 2/5
• Karrion Kross – 17/10

• Roman Reigns and Jey Uso – 1/7
• Bron Breakker and Bronson Reed – 10/3

• John Cena (Champ) – 4/7
• Cody Rhodes – 5/4

• Naomi (Champ) – 1/7
• Rhea Ripley – 4/1
• Iyo Sky – 7/1

• Becky Lynch (Champ) – 11/5
• Lyra Valkyria – 3/10

• Solo Sikoa (Champ) – 4/9
• Jacob Fatu – 6/4

• Dominik Mysterio (Champ) – 3/10
• AJ Kinds – 11/5

• The Wyatt Sicks (Champs) – 3/2
• Andrade and Rey Fenix – 13/10
• DIY – 5/1
• Fraxiom – 5/2
• Motor Metropolis Machine Weapons – 10/1
• The Road Income – 7/1

I’m not fully positive the place Summerslam will take WWE, if I’m trustworthy. Often, you’ll be able to gauge the place the story goes. As you’ll be able to inform from my previous couple of analytical articles on its specific model of wrestling, the Triple H regime is all about making certain nobody is fully positive.

With that mentioned, let’s dig into the primary night time, which is somewhat lighter than the second night time. The main occasions listed here are the Ladies’s and Heavyweight championship matches.

The good cash is predicting CM Punk will win, and it’s trying doubtless. Since returning to WWE final 12 months, Punk has been within the limelight as he’s an enormous draw. Individuals come to see him, and sticking the belt on him throughout a sizzling streak might be the selection right here.

Punk received the gauntlet match to win his spot within the match, and I might see him occurring to feud additional with the Paul Heyman-represented group. With chief Seth Rollins out of the image, however Heyman nonetheless within the image frequently, it’s a superb group to arrange because the overarching villains going ahead. It’d additionally give Bron Breakker or Bronson Reed one thing to work in direction of whereas Rollins is injured.

It’s unlucky that Jade Cargill just isn’t significantly good within the ring, as a result of she has the whole lot else. Nonetheless, it’s clear they wish to push Cargill to the moon, and Stratton is the sacrificial lamb.

Cargill was moved from the Naomi circle, opening up her as much as way more intriguing choices. It’s simply that Cargill remains to be clearly inexperienced, regardless of being within the enterprise for just a few years. Stratton has been a superb champion, however it usually feels as if she vanishes from the thoughts after she’s off-screen.

Between The Judgement Day’s Roxanne Perez and Raquel Rodriguez, and challengers Charlotte Aptitude and Alexa Bliss, the theme right here is friendship. In latest weeks, The Judgement Day girls have confirmed that they’re a superb staff with out Liv Morgan far and wide.

Perez has already been concerned in a profitable defence, and if WWE went with these two, it’d be an fascinating strategy to go in the event that they maintain them because the champ till Morgan returns. Nonetheless, latest episodes that includes the newly put-together Bliss and Aptitude have been fairly well-liked on social media.

Persons are looking for a cause to love Charlotte Aptitude, as her innate capability within the ring is commonly extra appreciated than who she is on display screen. Persons are simply fed up together with her coming in, profitable a belt, and sucking the air out of the room. With the Bliss staff up, it’s giving her an opportunity to indicate a brand new facet to her. Not solely as a personality and wrestler, however possibly as she is behind the scenes on TV.

It’s trying doubtless that WWE will put their efforts behind Bliss and Aptitude for now, till the inevitable staff breakup, the place I’d suspect Judgement Day will swoop again in.

We’re again with a celeb concerned in a wrestling match, and it’s Jelly Roll. The rapper is becoming a member of forces with Randy Orton in one in every of my most hated forms of matches. You’re telling me that this non-wrestler goes to have the ability to duke it out with precise wrestlers? I’d suspect it’ll be a Jelly Roll and Orton win, with followers (and myself) fuming as Jelly Roll will get the pin.

In happier information, Roman Reigns is again on our screens and is partnering with cousin Jey Uso to fend off the Heyman group of Bron Breakker and Bronson Reed. This one might go both approach, but when there’s a Samoan loss, it’ll be Jey consuming that pin. Breakker and Reed want to return out of this match trying robust, as with out Rollins within the image, it’s sucked the wind out of the momentum they’d.

The Zayn and Kross match is one other 50/50 cut up, no matter the place the good cash is. Commentary and WWE have repeatedly talked about that Zayn hasn’t managed to win any main championships shortly or ever, actually. If Zayn wins right here, I might see him on the quick monitor to probably stepping into the title scene.

Night time 2 of Summerslam is a bit more thrilling on the cardboard, however does have the possibility to be a bit an excessive amount of in some instances. There are plenty of stipulations and match varieties that permit for lots of shenanigans mid-match.

John Cena turned heel (villain) at Elimination Chamber, siding with The Rock and Travis Scott. It’s the primary time he’s been a baddie in WWE, and it’s in the end been a little bit of a wash.

The upcoming Summerslam match is Cody Rhodes’ probability to retrieve the belt, and for WWE and Cena to do the fitting factor. That’s to finish this pretty boring heel run and have what restricted time Cena’s obtainable be a extra constructive expertise.

A minimum of it’s a Road Combat, that means we received’t must see the identical bland match out of Cena and Rhodes as soon as once more. It’s surprisingly simpler to drag off a superb match with gimmicks than it’s to do a straight-up match, contemplating that Cena has obligations in Hollywood that want him in tip-top form.

The good cash believes in Naomi, I imagine in Naomi. Her latest cash-in of the Cash within the Financial institution contract to win the ladies’s belt was somewhat little bit of a shock. Nonetheless, it’d be too quickly to have put all this effort into completely rebranding her as a heel after which whisk the belt away.

There’s additionally the truth that wrestlers like Rhea Ripley and Iyo Sky don’t want the belt to be well-liked. Throw them right into a feud, have them really tussle in first rate matches, and so they’ll produce gold. It permits for the title scene on the principle roster girls’s division to clean up somewhat bit, too.

With a stipulation connected that if Lynch wins, Valkryia can’t problem for the belt once more, it’s shenanigans time. That’s why the match is a No Disqualification match, permitting them to clarify away a possible Valkyria loss on that foundation, fairly than simply her merely dropping clear.

Lynch can also be probably going to be out of the WWE ring once more within the coming months, nevertheless. She not too long ago signed on to do a TV pilot and presumably a full collection of the brand new present Movers, which might imply she might lose out merely because of her schedule. It’s not clear when the present would begin capturing, but when it’s not quickly, then locking Valkyria out of the mid-card belt can be a scarcity of foresight.

Until, after all, the younger star is being moved onto greater and higher issues. Who is aware of? Possibly Bayley will become involved once more and assist her win the match.

Solo Sikoa and Jacob Fatu are working their United States championship match over as soon as extra. It’s in a metal cage, so count on this to be the massive end to the feud. In wrestling, if the metal cage is launched in some capability, it means we’re seeing the top of that exact storyline.

Each Samoans have a good probability of popping out of the cage with the belt, which I think that Fatu will win right here, overcoming the nefarious Sikoa. Earlier than Sikoa received, Fatu had an even bigger plate of foes to go up towards, and it’d be nice to see that swing again spherical once more.

Varied comedy vignettes have been aired between AJ Kinds and Dom Mysterio, with Kinds angling for a title match. Nonetheless, Mysterio has at all times had an excuse, and it appears to be like like his luck has run out.

Right here, evidently this match might be used as a platform to permit both wrestler to department out somewhat. Dom not too long ago appeared at AAA, attacking Dragon Lee and Hijo del Vikingo, which might point out that the newly WWE acquired firm might be Mysterio’s new place to torment sooner or later. If he misplaced the Intercontinental belt, he might be simply inserted into the title scene within the Mexican firm. If not, then he can get embroiled in a extra worldwide feud.

In the meantime, AJ Kinds did make an look at TNA’s Slammiversary. Kinds was a staple wrestler of TNA till about 2014, when he left to go to Japan. Since 2016, he’s been a WWE man, however with the brand new WWE partnership between the 2, it might be Kinds branching out to different corporations with the belt on the road. This is able to be much like the present TNA World title being held by Trick Williams on WWE’s NXT.

I’ll say it now, if The Wyatt Sicks don’t win right here, then it could be time to scrap the group. The stop-start nature of the successor group to the late Bray Wyatt has been, frankly, a shambles. Accidents, vanishing from TV, and a few egregiously tacky on-line advertising have essentially come up quick.

The group in latest weeks has regained some momentum, however they must win tonight to solidify the group as something however the worst of the Wyatt shtick. Huge risk, however is all bark, no chunk as a result of by some means, inventive heads behind the scenes can’t work out tips on how to make a spooky villain.

The remainder of the tag groups right here I can’t see strolling away with the belts. Fraxiom are too new and appear to be leaning extra into the “cut up tag staff feud”.

Motor Metropolis Machine Weapons haven’t actually gotten an opportunity to shine but in WWE, regardless of being fan favorites in different corporations since 2006.

DIY and The Road Income are in a position our bodies within the tag staff area, however once more, it doesn’t look like WWE desires to again them way more than they’re proper now.

Lastly, Rey Fenix and Andrade look like they’re put collectively due to the place they arrive from, fairly than anything. Let me see these two wrestle one another, not staff up.

Summerslam airs August 2 and three on Peacock within the US and Netflix in every single place else on the earth.